Surprise Me!

Twitter predicts Labour victory

2010-03-31 46 Dailymotion

<p><br /> Political Twitter group Tweetminister is predicting a small Labour majority or a hung parliament after analysing millions of messages on Twitter.<br /> </p><p><br /> The results chime with those of traditional pollsters who are also predicting a very close General Election race, but it is one of the few polls to predict that Gordon Brown might emerge victorious.<br /> </p><p><br /> The political micro-bloggers will continue to analyse Twitter as the election progresses to see if word-of-mouth mentions of the candidates can help to predict who will be the winners and losers on polling day.<br /> </p><p><br /> So far it has already analysed 2 million tweets for the study, taking its inspiration from a project in Japan's 2009 General Election which looked into the correlation between "online buzz" and election results.<br /> </p><p><br /> With a little more than a month until the expected May 6 election, Tweetminister is predicting that voters will return a small majority for Labour or a hung parliament. Overall it puts Conservatives on 34 per cent, Labour on 35 per cent and the Liberal Democrats on 22 per cent.<br /> </p><p><br /> The group has also listed the ten most influential electoral candidates on Twitter calculated by a ratio score of the frequency of mentions verses the number of personal tweets.<br /> </p><p><br /> The most influential tweeters include Labour's Tom Watson and David Miliband as well as Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg, Tory chairman Eric Pickles and novelist Louise Bagshawe.<br /> </p>

Buy Now on CodeCanyon