On April 9th, 2010, I sat down for toast and coffee with Immanuel Wallerstein in the San Francisco apartment of his daughter Kathy. As always he provided a sharp and sobering insight into global politics, and I have edited the conversation into short films based on the different topics we discussed. In this piece I asked him, "What do think the most important medium-term news story is right now, for the next few months, to be following?" His answer may surprise you....